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2024-12-14 12:36:43

If we combine the A50 index with the trend of Hong Kong stocks, Hong Kong stocks have hit a new low, and the downward trend is more obvious. From these two indexes, there is no sign of starting a second upswing. If it were not for the support, A shares and these two sisters would have fallen sharply at the same time.Because A-shares often support the market, big index stocks have not gone up less. When we look at the increase of big index stocks and small and medium-sized stocks together, they are basically the same, both at a relatively high level. In this way, big index stocks are even less dominant. Banks have gone up for 10 years, and oil and coal have gone up for four years. These small and medium-sized stocks have only gone up for more than a month, but the increase is relatively large, so there is no basis for size conversion, that is,Support is necessary at this stage, but the strength is weakening. Just like the trend of these days, the big index stocks have to come forward to protect the market, because it is far from enough to support the market by relying on a securities sector alone. Since the big index stocks are pulled up, let's just draw the bow.


First, at present, there is no sign that A shares will start the second wave of market, and the conditions are not available.Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.


First, this is mainly reflected in the current situation of A-shares themselves: it is inseparable from the positive, and the hype foundation of A-shares in the past three years is being weakened.Today, the three sisters of A-shares jointly pull up A-shares again, which is a ship pulled for the expectation of RMB depreciation. Because it is a shrinkage increase, especially A50, the shrinkage increase after the heavy volume drop is reflected in A-shares, that is, pulling up the external market with a small amount of funds to affect the A-share market.Support is necessary at this stage, but the strength is weakening. Just like the trend of these days, the big index stocks have to come forward to protect the market, because it is far from enough to support the market by relying on a securities sector alone. Since the big index stocks are pulled up, let's just draw the bow.

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